Research
U.S. Economic Weekly
We expect the Fed to set policy based on economic considerations and not election or political considerations.
Download PDF (288.1 KB) MoreWe expect the Fed to set policy based on economic considerations and not election or political considerations.
Download PDF (288.1 KB) MoreA wise man once said that the markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. It certainly feels like that after the risk-off/risk-on tug-of-war over the last two weeks. Just as our global indicators suggested a pause in the rally last week, improvements in macro data now suggest investors should position for an economic upturn.
Download PDF (404.7 KB) MoreThe first quarter of 2012 proved a strong one for most financial assets. But the RIC believes 2Q12 will prove a tougher quarter for asset prices.
Download PDF (541.2 KB) MoreInvestor cash levels rose to 4.7%, triggering a contrarian equity "buy" signal. But the April Fund Manager Survey reveals cautious investor sentiment rather than the unambiguous fear that often creates big buying opportunities.
Download PDF (380.9 KB) MoreInformation leakage differs significantly across venues.Bank of America Merrill Lynch measures venue toxicity by examining the difference between execution price and a short term fair price.
MoreCFOs across Asia are combining optimism with caution – upbeat about the prospects for their own companies in the year ahead, yet mindful of the threats posed by economies in the West – namely the European debt crisis and the U.S. budget deficit.
Download PDF (1 MB) MoreNot since last spring have CFOs been this confident in the U.S. economy, and their companies' financial performance. With plans for more hiring and greater profits in 2012, is sutainable growth ahead?
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